Nichols, J. D., T. Boulinier,
J. E. Hines, K. H. Pollock, and J. R. Sauer. 1998b. Inference methods for
spatial variation in species richness and community composition when not all
species are detected. Conservation Biology 12:1390-1398.
Inferences
about spatial variation in species richness and community composition are
important both to ecological hypotheses about the structure and function of
communities and to community-level conservation and management. Few sampling
programs for animal communities provide censuses, and usually some species
present. We present estimators useful for drawing inferences about comparative
species richness and composition between different sampling locations when not
all species are detected in sampling efforts. Based on capture-recapture models
using the robust design, our methods estimate relative species richness,
proportion of species in one location that are also found in another, and number
of species found in one location but not in another. The methods use data on the
presence or absence of each species at different sampling occasions (or
locations) to estimate the number of species not detected at any occasions (or
locations). This approach permits estimation of the number of species in the
sampled community and in subsets of the community useful for estimating the
fraction of species shared by two communities. We provide an illustration of our
estimation methods by comparing bird species richness and composition in two
locations sampled by routes of the North American Breeding Bird Survey. In this
example analysis, the two locations (an associated bird communities) represented
different levels of urbanization. Estimates of relative richness, proportion of
shared species, and number of species present on one route but not the other
indicated that the route with the smaller fraction of urban area had greater
richness and a larer number of species that were not found on the more urban
route than vice versa. We developed a software package, COMDYN, for computing
estimates based on the methods. Because these estimation methods explicitly deal
with sampling in which not all species are detected, we recommend their use for
addressing questions about species richness and community composition.